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                                                                                                                                                                          1. 主页 > 港股直击 > 港股续升势 AH或现跷跷板效应...

                                                                                                                                                                            港股续升势 AH或现跷跷板效应

                                                                                                                                                                              香港智信社

                                                                                                                                                                              昨日来自于内地市场的两条政策信息值得投资者中长线关注,一是国务院常务会议提出要建立个人投资者境外投资制度,隔夜美股相关中概股反映强烈,在美股大市平盘的背景下,中概股全线飙升;二是外管局发布《关于加强外汇资金流入管理有关问题的通知》,从

                                                                                                                                                                            相关公司股票走势

                                                                                                                                                                            港股续升势 AH或现跷跷板效应

                                                                                                                                                                            多方面抑制国际套利资金的流入,以缓解人民币升值的压力以及热钱流入给货币政策带来的冲击。对于港股而言,上述两则消息均属利好,前者是在人民币资本项目开放的大趋势下,利于内地投资者投资香港市场;而后者将最终体现为内地与香港市场资金面的跷跷板效应,作为人民币的替代资产,热钱对于港元资产的追捧程度将升温。

                                                                                                                                                                              在利好消息的助推下,港股周二继续震荡上行,恒生指数成功收复23000点大关,报23047.09点,涨幅为0.58%;大市共成交567亿港元。中资股领涨大市,国企指数与红筹指数分别上涨1.03%和0.6%。衡量港股避险情绪的恒指波幅指数继续下行逾2%,报14.92点。

                                                                                                                                                                              自4月下旬以来,港股逐步摆脱了内地A股的压力,进而追随欧美市场的升势,AH联动性也随之降低,AH溢价水平显著回落,其根源在于与前几个月相比,港股市场的资金面出现了根本性好转,美元港币汇率的回落显示国际资金开始回流港股市场。当然,从美元对人民币汇率走向看,在内外货币政策差异显著的背景下,热钱近期通过各种渠道流入内地市场的数量并不小,但由于内地经济基本面不佳,资金投资于A股市场的并不多,取而代之的或为固定收益产品,毕竟目前内地的利率要显著高于发达经济体。也正是因为热钱的流入给内地货币政策以及人民币汇率带来的较强压力,才促使外管局推出了通过各种途径抑制热钱流入的措施,其结果必然令部分原本流入内地的热钱转投香港市场。

                                                                                                                                                                              从昨日港股各行业板块表现来看,中资能源股成为恒指的领涨主力,其中,重磅股中国石油表现突出,涨幅达到2.47%,近期国际原油价格的扬升是助推其股价上行的原因之一。此外,中资保险股持续受到市场追捧,国寿及平保涨幅均超过1%,法国巴黎银行日前发表报告看好中资保险股,该行表示,过去两年一线城市的保险代理服务转型已经开始带来积极成效,加上内地的寿险覆盖率较低(为1.8%),同时消费者越来越认同保险的必要性,因此中资保险公司面临长期增长的机遇。该行表示,中资保险股的估值具有吸引力,预计该类公司将继续成长,在一线城市出现的业绩好转情况将逐步蔓延至全国其它地区。

                                                                                                                                                                              另外,中资航运类个股昨日表现突出,中海集运、中国远洋涨幅分别达到10.58%和8.92%。中海集运公布以6.83亿美元向造船商现代重工业购买5艘18,400 TEU级船舶,船舶将分别于2014至2015年交付,该消息激发了投资者做多热情。

                                                                                                                                                                              展望港股后市,从技术上看,恒指在收复半年线、22000点及23000点大关后,短线上升趋势已经形成,同时恒指仍处于去年6月份以来形成的大的升轨之中,考虑到资金面趋势性好转的因素,后市不排除挑战前期高点及24000点整数关的可能性。

                                                                                                                                                                            文章来自:http://www.wm927.com/astock/20171108/137675.html

                                                                                                                                                                            港股 跷跷板 


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